← Port Flow
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Prediction receipts

Every ETA we publish is timestamped before the vessel arrives, then scored against the actual arrival. No retro-fitting, no cherry-picking — the losses stay on the board with the wins. Last 30 days, most recent first.

Receipts settled
100
closed voyages with a pre-arrival prediction
Head-to-head vs broadcast
86 %
closer than the crew's own ETA on 31/36 comparable voyages
Average lead time
9 h
between the last locked prediction and arrival

The ledger

error = ETA minus actual arrival (hours)
PortMMSIPrediction lockedArrivedOur errorBroadcast errorVerdict
🇰🇷 Busan44015385012 Jul, 08:43 UTC12 Jul, 08:49 UTC0.7 h—n/a
🇳🇱 Rotterdam21112980012 Jul, 08:46 UTC12 Jul, 08:48 UTC6.6 h—n/a
🇳🇱 Rotterdam24474078712 Jul, 08:38 UTC12 Jul, 08:47 UTC1.7 h-6.9 h✓ beat
🇰🇷 Busan44003542012 Jul, 08:44 UTC12 Jul, 08:47 UTC1.0 h—n/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp20559039012 Jul, 08:39 UTC12 Jul, 08:46 UTC2.1 h-54.8 h✓ beat
🇳🇱 Rotterdam24482242412 Jul, 08:34 UTC12 Jul, 08:46 UTC-1.8 h-22.8 h✓ beat
🇩🇪 Hamburg21118888012 Jul, 08:41 UTC12 Jul, 08:45 UTC0.4 h—n/a
🇳🇱 Rotterdam24474081412 Jul, 08:35 UTC12 Jul, 08:45 UTC3.4 h—n/a
🇳🇱 Rotterdam24471094012 Jul, 08:31 UTC12 Jul, 08:45 UTC4.9 h—n/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp20921700012 Jul, 08:30 UTC12 Jul, 08:44 UTC0.4 h48.3 h✓ beat
🇧🇪 Antwerp24418796612 Jul, 08:33 UTC12 Jul, 08:44 UTC4.1 h25.9 h✓ beat
🇳🇱 Amsterdam24475068712 Jul, 08:33 UTC12 Jul, 08:43 UTC-0.1 h—n/a
🇭🇰 Hong Kong41320682012 Jul, 08:35 UTC12 Jul, 08:40 UTC0.7 h-108.7 h✓ beat
🇳🇱 Rotterdam24400150412 Jul, 08:34 UTC12 Jul, 08:40 UTC3.9 h—n/a
🇺🇸 Houston35774300012 Jul, 08:33 UTC12 Jul, 08:39 UTC8.7 h-5.7 h✗ missed
🇬🇷 Piraeus25300015812 Jul, 08:30 UTC12 Jul, 08:39 UTC0.4 hsentineln/a
🇳🇱 Rotterdam24467011412 Jul, 08:33 UTC12 Jul, 08:39 UTC1.3 hsentineln/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp20551499012 Jul, 08:14 UTC12 Jul, 08:38 UTC0.3 hsentineln/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp20556919012 Jul, 08:30 UTC12 Jul, 08:38 UTC-0.6 h—n/a
🇳🇱 Amsterdam24403017512 Jul, 08:31 UTC12 Jul, 08:38 UTC-0.2 hsentineln/a
🇵🇱 Gdansk25580645212 Jul, 04:12 UTC12 Jul, 08:38 UTC-0.6 hsentineln/a
🇺🇸 Houston25591657812 Jul, 08:19 UTC12 Jul, 08:37 UTC2.0 h-42.6 h✓ beat
🇧🇪 Antwerp24407654712 Jul, 08:30 UTC12 Jul, 08:37 UTC0.5 h22.2 h✓ beat
🇳🇱 Amsterdam24471052312 Jul, 08:29 UTC12 Jul, 08:37 UTC0.7 h—n/a
🇳🇱 Rotterdam24466073512 Jul, 08:27 UTC12 Jul, 08:37 UTC1.2 hsentineln/a
🇸🇬 Singapore56578000012 Jul, 08:21 UTC12 Jul, 08:35 UTC-2.2 h-151.6 h✓ beat
🇧🇪 Antwerp20954300012 Jul, 08:20 UTC12 Jul, 08:35 UTC-0.6 h-28.6 h✓ beat
🇳🇱 Rotterdam24401091012 Jul, 08:17 UTC12 Jul, 08:34 UTC1.4 hsentineln/a
🇸🇬 Singapore56670200011 Jul, 17:43 UTC12 Jul, 08:32 UTC-15.5 h-6.4 h✗ missed
🇳🇱 Amsterdam24411024212 Jul, 08:12 UTC12 Jul, 08:32 UTC6.7 hsentineln/a
🇩🇪 Hamburg21119602012 Jul, 08:23 UTC12 Jul, 08:32 UTC-0.2 hsentineln/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp24474011412 Jul, 08:14 UTC12 Jul, 08:30 UTC3.7 hsentineln/a
🇳🇱 Rotterdam24467011212 Jul, 08:17 UTC12 Jul, 08:30 UTC3.3 hsentineln/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp20558719012 Jul, 08:23 UTC12 Jul, 08:29 UTC2.4 h-21.7 h✓ beat
🇳🇱 Amsterdam24475068712 Jul, 08:21 UTC12 Jul, 08:28 UTC-0.1 h—n/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp20537569012 Jul, 08:22 UTC12 Jul, 08:28 UTC-0.6 h-45.1 h✓ beat
🇳🇱 Rotterdam21159444012 Jul, 08:13 UTC12 Jul, 08:28 UTC-0.7 h-44.5 h✓ beat
🇳🇱 Rotterdam26905764212 Jul, 08:21 UTC12 Jul, 08:28 UTC5.1 hsentineln/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp20524459012 Jul, 08:20 UTC12 Jul, 08:26 UTC-0.4 h—n/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp24475098612 Jul, 08:14 UTC12 Jul, 08:23 UTC2.0 h-46.9 h✓ beat
🇳🇱 Rotterdam24466095112 Jul, 08:17 UTC12 Jul, 08:23 UTC3.2 h—n/a
🇩🇪 Bremerhaven21148054012 Jul, 08:20 UTC12 Jul, 08:23 UTC0.3 hsentineln/a
🇳🇱 Rotterdam24474045312 Jul, 08:16 UTC12 Jul, 08:23 UTC4.0 h-0.9 h✗ missed
🇧🇪 Antwerp21151404012 Jul, 08:13 UTC12 Jul, 08:22 UTC1.8 h—n/a
🇳🇱 Rotterdam25580459012 Jul, 08:13 UTC12 Jul, 08:19 UTC3.4 h-62.3 h✓ beat
🇧🇪 Antwerp24466067512 Jul, 08:07 UTC12 Jul, 08:19 UTC-0.1 h—n/a
🇸🇬 Singapore56663000012 Jul, 05:50 UTC12 Jul, 08:19 UTC-2.5 hsentineln/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp20557269012 Jul, 08:16 UTC12 Jul, 08:18 UTC2.1 h—n/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp20527839012 Jul, 08:11 UTC12 Jul, 08:18 UTC0.6 h—n/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp24400004612 Jul, 08:06 UTC12 Jul, 08:18 UTC2.6 h—n/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp20556619012 Jul, 08:06 UTC12 Jul, 08:18 UTC0.5 h—n/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp20553929012 Jul, 08:00 UTC12 Jul, 08:17 UTC2.1 hsentineln/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp20544889012 Jul, 08:05 UTC12 Jul, 08:17 UTC0.4 h—n/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp25580547012 Jul, 08:09 UTC12 Jul, 08:16 UTC0.5 h-9.3 h✓ beat
🇭🇰 Hong Kong41399570812 Jul, 07:57 UTC12 Jul, 08:16 UTC-0.1 h—n/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp24406700012 Jul, 08:05 UTC12 Jul, 08:15 UTC0.1 h-15.3 h✓ beat
🇳🇱 Rotterdam24485011612 Jul, 08:08 UTC12 Jul, 08:15 UTC3.3 hsentineln/a
🇩🇪 Hamburg21120108012 Jul, 08:08 UTC12 Jul, 08:14 UTC0.2 h—n/a
🇳🇱 Amsterdam24487014012 Jul, 07:56 UTC12 Jul, 08:13 UTC-0.5 hsentineln/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp20536939012 Jul, 08:06 UTC12 Jul, 08:13 UTC1.0 h-2.6 h✓ beat
🇳🇱 Amsterdam24475068712 Jul, 08:07 UTC12 Jul, 08:13 UTC0.3 h—n/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp25580608612 Jul, 08:10 UTC12 Jul, 08:12 UTC1.0 h-9.7 h✓ beat
🇧🇪 Antwerp20558719012 Jul, 08:03 UTC12 Jul, 08:10 UTC0.1 h—n/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp20526859012 Jul, 07:58 UTC12 Jul, 08:09 UTC0.8 hsentineln/a
🇳🇱 Rotterdam24471094012 Jul, 07:59 UTC12 Jul, 08:09 UTC6.4 h—n/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp24461588612 Jul, 07:51 UTC12 Jul, 08:09 UTC-0.3 h—n/a
🇯🇵 Yokohama / Tokyo Bay43100524610 Jul, 09:45 UTC12 Jul, 08:09 UTC-46.1 hsentineln/a
🇳🇱 Rotterdam20504580012 Jul, 07:57 UTC12 Jul, 08:08 UTC-1.2 hsentineln/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp24474016809 Jun, 07:24 UTC12 Jul, 08:08 UTC-791.2 hsentineln/a
🇰🇷 Busan44040090012 Jul, 07:58 UTC12 Jul, 08:07 UTC-0.6 hsentineln/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp21150043012 Jul, 07:59 UTC12 Jul, 08:07 UTC2.1 h-3.1 h✓ beat
🇳🇱 Rotterdam24413778312 Jul, 08:05 UTC12 Jul, 08:06 UTC11.0 h-25.2 h✓ beat
🇧🇪 Antwerp20552899012 Jul, 07:59 UTC12 Jul, 08:06 UTC-0.2 h-114.0 h✓ beat
🇧🇪 Antwerp24467023612 Jul, 08:05 UTC12 Jul, 08:06 UTC-0.3 h—n/a
🇳🇱 Rotterdam24482125712 Jul, 07:57 UTC12 Jul, 08:06 UTC-1.1 h-21.8 h✓ beat
🇳🇱 Amsterdam20556689012 Jul, 08:03 UTC12 Jul, 08:05 UTC3.4 h—n/a
🇭🇰 Hong Kong41384748612 Jul, 07:40 UTC12 Jul, 08:03 UTC0.1 h—n/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp21180658012 Jul, 07:59 UTC12 Jul, 08:03 UTC1.0 h—n/a
🇭🇰 Hong Kong41376272912 Jul, 07:27 UTC12 Jul, 08:03 UTC0.4 h—n/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp21174924012 Jul, 07:46 UTC12 Jul, 08:02 UTC0.1 h-0.0 h✗ missed
🇧🇪 Antwerp24467024512 Jul, 07:57 UTC12 Jul, 08:02 UTC0.1 h-29.4 h✓ beat
🇧🇪 Antwerp20529209012 Jul, 07:53 UTC12 Jul, 08:01 UTC4.6 hsentineln/a
🇭🇰 Hong Kong41346501012 Jul, 07:54 UTC12 Jul, 08:00 UTC0.9 h—n/a
🇳🇱 Rotterdam53801149212 Jul, 07:51 UTC12 Jul, 07:59 UTC2.7 h-22.0 h✓ beat
🇧🇪 Antwerp20557269012 Jul, 07:53 UTC12 Jul, 07:58 UTC0.6 h—n/a
🇩🇪 Hamburg21189133012 Jul, 07:57 UTC12 Jul, 07:58 UTC0.8 h—n/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp24466067512 Jul, 07:51 UTC12 Jul, 07:57 UTC2.7 h-49.5 h✓ beat
🇳🇱 Rotterdam20555139012 Jul, 07:50 UTC12 Jul, 07:57 UTC2.5 h-25.8 h✓ beat
🇧🇪 Antwerp20544889012 Jul, 07:37 UTC12 Jul, 07:57 UTC-0.3 h—n/a
🇳🇱 Amsterdam24475068712 Jul, 07:52 UTC12 Jul, 07:56 UTC0.5 h—n/a
🇳🇱 Rotterdam37272300012 Jul, 07:42 UTC12 Jul, 07:56 UTC2.3 h-1.9 h✗ missed
🇧🇪 Antwerp24463011512 Jul, 07:44 UTC12 Jul, 07:54 UTC-0.6 h—n/a
🇰🇷 Busan44030273012 Jul, 07:31 UTC12 Jul, 07:54 UTC0.4 h—n/a
🇳🇱 Amsterdam24404697612 Jul, 07:33 UTC12 Jul, 07:54 UTC0.7 h-1.3 h✓ beat
🇧🇪 Antwerp24475051812 Jul, 07:49 UTC12 Jul, 07:54 UTC4.0 hsentineln/a
🇩🇪 Hamburg21189133012 Jul, 07:50 UTC12 Jul, 07:53 UTC0.7 h—n/a
🇳🇱 Rotterdam24474078712 Jul, 07:44 UTC12 Jul, 07:52 UTC0.2 hsentineln/a
🇧🇪 Antwerp24400082812 Jul, 07:44 UTC12 Jul, 07:50 UTC0.2 h1.9 h✓ beat
🇮🇹 Genoa25580583412 Jul, 07:45 UTC12 Jul, 07:50 UTC1.6 h-60.8 h✓ beat
🇳🇱 Rotterdam20554209012 Jul, 07:41 UTC12 Jul, 07:50 UTC-0.4 h-40.5 h✓ beat

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